Pergolettese 0-1 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
0.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.16
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Vicenza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
24.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
06.04.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
04.12.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
0-1
AWAY Vicenza
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza edged past Pergolettese 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Pergolettese had 61% of the ball to Vicenza's 39%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pergolettese and 1.25 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Vicenza?

Pergolettese 0-1 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 26%, draw 25%, Vicenza 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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