Pergolettese 0-2 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
5.03
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -13%
1.27/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.22
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
199 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
06.04.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
04.12.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
0-2
AWAY Vicenza
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza saw off Pergolettese 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pergolettese had 60% of the ball to Vicenza's 40%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pergolettese and 1.00 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Vicenza?

Pergolettese 0-2 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 30%, draw 28%, Vicenza 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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