Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
13%
4.55
6+ Goals
6%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 40% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.7pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.16
-3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Crotone
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-1
AWAY Crotone
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and Crotone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 54% of the ball to Crotone's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 26%, draw 27%, Crotone 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crotone), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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