GIANA Erminio 0-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -8%
1.12/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.49
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Novara
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
24.09.2023 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
03.02.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-2 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
07.10.2020 Novara Novara 2-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.10.2019 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
20.04.2015 Novara Novara 2-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
0-1
AWAY Novara
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara edged past GIANA Erminio 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Novara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 60% of the ball to Novara's 40%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Novara led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.60 for Novara.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Novara?

GIANA Erminio 0-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 38%, draw 30%, Novara 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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