Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Pro Sesto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.27
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +0%
0.79/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.11
-47% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Pro Sesto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
14.01.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
13.09.2022 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-1
AWAY Pro Sesto
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Sesto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo and Pro Sesto couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 56% of the ball to Pro Sesto's 44%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.33 for Pro Sesto.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Sesto?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Pro Sesto in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Sesto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 44%, draw 29%, Pro Sesto 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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