Renate 0-1 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.99
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
220 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Legnago Salus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
24.09.2023 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
13.03.2022 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
31.10.2021 Renate Renate 4-0 HT 3-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-1
AWAY Legnago Salus
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus edged past Renate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Renate at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 57% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 43%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Renate and 0.67 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of Renate vs Legnago Salus?

Renate 0-1 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 41%, draw 28%, Legnago Salus 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Renate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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