Perugia 0-0 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -22%
1.83/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.57
+15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rimini
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTCK
23.09.2023 Rimini Rimini 2-2 HT 1-2 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-0
AWAY Rimini
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia and Rimini played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Perugia had 60% of the ball to Rimini's 40%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rimini led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perugia and 1.50 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Rimini?

Perugia 0-0 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Perugia 50%, draw 28%, Rimini 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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