Trapani 1905 0-3 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
0-3
AWAY Picerno
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno swept aside Trapani 1905 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trapani 1905 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 47% of the ball to Picerno's 53%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Picerno?

Trapani 1905 0-3 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 45%, draw 28%, Picerno 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Trapani 1905), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
1 Sep 2024
19:00 Pergolettese vs Vicenza Analysis →
19:00 Caldiero Terme vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
19:00 Novara vs Atalanta II Analysis →
19:00 Trento AC vs Lecco Analysis →
19:00 Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
19:00 Milan II vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →