Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.59/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.43
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
14.04.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-3 HT 0-2 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
17.07.2022 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
06.07.2017 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJK
30.08.2015 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
12.04.2015 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors edged past Guillermo Brown 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chacarita Juniors as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 0.40 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Guillermo Brown?

Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 41%, draw 34%, Guillermo Brown 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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