Guillermo Brown 0-3 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.1pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.70/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.15
-33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
17.07.2022 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
06.07.2017 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJK
30.08.2015 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
12.04.2015 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors swept aside Guillermo Brown 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Chacarita Juniors made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guillermo Brown had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guillermo Brown and 0.50 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Chacarita Juniors?

Guillermo Brown 0-3 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guillermo Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 38%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Guillermo Brown), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guillermo Brown) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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