14/04/2024
·
03:10
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Deportivo Moron vs Colon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
31%
Draw
31%
33%
Away Win
37%
56%
Under 2.5
64%
44%
Over 2.5
36%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Moron v Colon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Deportivo Moron
EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Colon
EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% /
+23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
1.20/0.53
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.24
+17%
/
+73%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
-20%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
279 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
329 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
–
Deportivo Moron vs Colon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Deportivo Moron
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Colon
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
45%
Ball Possession
55%
15
Total Shots
4
10
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
1
The Meetings
22.07.2018
Colon
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Moron
ARJK
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Moron
ARJK
POST-MATCH
Deportivo Moron vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Colon saw off Deportivo Moron 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Colon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Colon?
Deportivo Moron 0-2 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Colon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 36%, draw 31%, Colon 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron)
✓ Under 2.5
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More Argentina - National Primera Liga
14 Apr 2024