Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.7pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.16
+16% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atletico Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Mitre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia Y Tiro as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 44%, draw 32%, Club Atletico Mitre 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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