Tristan Suarez 1-3 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
30%
-7.4pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.99/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.81
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Quilmes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
30.09.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 5-1 HT 2-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
21.05.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
28.03.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes got the better of Tristan Suarez 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tristan Suarez and 2.33 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

Tristan Suarez 1-3 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 31%, draw 22%, Quilmes 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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