Alvarado 0-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.42/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.06
+19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
6 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
04.09.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
25.04.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu nicked a narrow win over Alvarado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alvarado at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alvarado and 0.33 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Deportivo Maipu?

Alvarado 0-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 41%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maipu 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alvarado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvarado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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