Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.38/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.21
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Alvarado
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
14.04.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.09.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
04.09.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
25.04.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu and Alvarado shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Maipu at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.50 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado?

Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 49%, draw 31%, Alvarado 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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