Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.6
No
70%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.9pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
34%
-4.3pp
70%
BTTS No
66%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -8%
1.21/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.08
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
3 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
15.04.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
01.05.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
07.08.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
29.03.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy squeezed past Club Atletico Guemes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Jujuy as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.25 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 51%, draw 27%, Club Atletico Guemes 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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