Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stellenbosch FC v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals
Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Stellenbosch FC
GAFPSL
2-1
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAF8K
1-1
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
Stellenbosch FC 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics
Stellenbosch FC squeezed past Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 24% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 76%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.31 to 1.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stellenbosch FC's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 1.33 for Mamelodi Sundowns.
What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Stellenbosch FC 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Cup on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 28%, draw 27%, Mamelodi Sundowns 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.