Altrincham 1-2 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Oct 2025

Altrincham
1-2 HT 0-0
Tamworth
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Altrincham vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.82
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
10%
7.0
X/X
8%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.55
2/2
16%
4.81
2/X
9%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Altrincham v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.98/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.26
+31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
44 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 47 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Altrincham vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tamworth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-2 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.03.2011 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
18.01.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
24.11.2009 Tamworth Tamworth 0-2 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
22.09.2009 Altrincham Altrincham 0-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
21.04.2007 Tamworth Tamworth 1-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL

Altrincham 1-2 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-2
AWAY Tamworth
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth nicked a narrow win over Altrincham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Altrincham at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Altrincham had 63% of the ball to Tamworth's 37%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Altrincham and 0.50 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Tamworth?

Altrincham 1-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 44%, draw 26%, Tamworth 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altrincham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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