York City 1-3 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Oct 2025

York City
1-3 HT 0-1
Scunthorpe United
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

York City vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
20%
4.13
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
9%
5.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.45
2/2
6%
7.96
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York City v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
2.44/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.39
+27% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

York City vs Scunthorpe United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.03.2023 York City York City 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
17.09.2022 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
12.07.2017 York City York City 2-2 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United HAZ
03.05.2014 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 2-2 HT 2-1 York City York City İN2
29.10.2013 York City York City 4-1 HT 4-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
09.03.2004 York City York City 1-3 HT 0-2 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2

York City 1-3 Scunthorpe United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
1-3
AWAY Scunthorpe United
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York City vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United saw off York City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. York City carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, York City had 53% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 47%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for York City and 1.50 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of York City vs Scunthorpe United?

York City 1-3 Scunthorpe United in the England - National League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split York City 56%, draw 23%, Scunthorpe United 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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