Norwich City 0-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
6+ Goals
12%
17.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
10%
6.48
X/2
16%
4.82
X/X
7%
4.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.11
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.03/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.12
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.9 Crosses 19.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
339 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.11.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-2 HT 2-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
20.01.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
26.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
17.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
0-1
AWAY West Bromwich
1.62 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
482 Passes 329
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich edged past Norwich City 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Norwich City had 59% of the ball to West Bromwich's 41%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.62 to 0.96 — on chances, Norwich City could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Norwich City and 1.00 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Norwich City 0-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 34%, draw 22%, West Bromwich 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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