Norwich City 1-0 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.88
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
8%
7.23
X/X
15%
4.67
2/1
13%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.39
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+40% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.8 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
337 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-2 HT 2-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
20.01.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
26.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
17.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.01.2019 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-0
AWAY West Bromwich
0.92 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
322 Passes 450
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City edged past West Bromwich 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norwich City had 42% of the ball to West Bromwich's 58%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Norwich City and 1.17 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Norwich City 1-0 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 45%, draw 28%, West Bromwich 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Under 2.5
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