Norwich City 2-0 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.54
X/2
16%
5.42
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
11%
3.74
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.04/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
-24% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.2 Crosses 20.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 318
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
17.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.01.2019 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
11.08.2018 Norwich City Norwich City 3-4 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
19.03.2016 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
2-0
AWAY West Bromwich
1.69 xG 1.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
302 Passes 486
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City beat West Bromwich 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Norwich City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Norwich City had 40% of the ball to West Bromwich's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.69 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Norwich City and 1.50 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Norwich City 2-0 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 37%, draw 27%, West Bromwich 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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