Bristol City 1-1 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.21
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
14%
6.29
X/X
13%
4.08
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.72
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.29
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.2 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Watford
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
298 Passes 426
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Watford Watford 1-4 HT 0-2 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
15.04.2023 Watford Watford 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
12.11.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
13.02.2021 Watford Watford 6-0 HT 4-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
25.11.2020 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
06.01.2018 Watford Watford 3-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
1-1
AWAY Watford
1.35 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
270 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City and Watford shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bristol City had 47% of the ball to Watford's 53%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.35 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bristol City and 2.00 for Watford.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Watford?

Bristol City 1-1 Watford in the England - Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 40%, draw 25%, Watford 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bristol City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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