Hessen Kassel 2-2 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
63%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 20%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.90/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.22
-11% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 2-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
30.03.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 3-2 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-3 HT 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel and Bahlinger SC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hessen Kassel at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hessen Kassel had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.33 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Bahlinger SC?

Hessen Kassel 2-2 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 65%, draw 19%, Bahlinger SC 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hessen Kassel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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