St. Pauli II 1-1 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.37/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.58
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kickers Emden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
6 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 0-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 0-2 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Kickers Emden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kickers Emden at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.00 for Kickers Emden.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?

St. Pauli II 1-1 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 25%, draw 26%, Kickers Emden 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Emden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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