Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 24%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.01
+133% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.10.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 0-2 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kickers Emden
0-1
AWAY St. Pauli II
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II nicked a narrow win over Kickers Emden 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kickers Emden at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kickers Emden had 50% of the ball to St. Pauli II's 50%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II?

Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 47%, draw 23%, St. Pauli II 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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