VfB Oldenburg 3-4 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.96
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.23
Over 2.5
69%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
47%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.3pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.9pp
31%
Under 2.5
41%
-10.2pp
69%
Over 2.5
59%
+10.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.0pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.83/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.99
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
12.04.2025 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-3 HT 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
17.03.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-3 HT 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-1 HT 3-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
25.10.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel edged past VfB Oldenburg 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had VfB Oldenburg at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 2.33 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

VfB Oldenburg 3-4 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 55%, draw 19%, Drochtersen / Assel 26%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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