VfB Oldenburg 2-3 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.78/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.17
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
17.03.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-3 HT 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-1 HT 3-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
25.10.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel nicked a narrow win over VfB Oldenburg 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 2.50 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

VfB Oldenburg 2-3 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 26%, draw 27%, Drochtersen / Assel 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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