Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.69/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.56
+8% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
3W-2D-0L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
2 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
06.10.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-3 HT 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
17.03.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-3 HT 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-1 HT 3-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
25.10.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel and VfB Oldenburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Drochtersen / Assel at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.20 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs VfB Oldenburg?

Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 45%, draw 23%, VfB Oldenburg 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ BTTS Yes
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