Alianza 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.0pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.81/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.92
+4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
03.12.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
07.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza beat Fuerte San Francisco 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Alianza 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alianza 57%, draw 28%, Fuerte San Francisco 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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