Changchun YaTai 0-4 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.99
2-3 Goals
32%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.5
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
7%
6.04
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
5.98
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1
9%
23.1
2/2
17%
3.44
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · X/2 at 5.98 — our 19% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.01/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.78
-25% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.1 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.38 xG 2.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
242 Passes 407
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
28.09.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 8-1 HT 4-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
17.05.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
22.09.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
02.06.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-3 HT 2-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
15.12.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
0-4
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.38 xG 2.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
260 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan swept aside Changchun YaTai 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 47% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 53%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.38 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Changchun YaTai and 3.33 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Beijing Guoan?

Changchun YaTai 0-4 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 34%, draw 23%, Beijing Guoan 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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