Beijing Guoan 2-1 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.64
2-3 Goals
32%
2.16
4-5 Goals
30%
2.39
6+ Goals
19%
4.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
23.3
X/1
13%
4.01
X/2
6%
23.3
X/X
3%
10.4
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
3%
18.8
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.8pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.44/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/3.02
+41% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -29%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
545 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.3 Crosses 18.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.24 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
379 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 8-1 HT 4-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
17.05.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
22.09.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
02.06.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-3 HT 2-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
15.12.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
24.10.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-1
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.78 xG 0.79
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
570 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan nicked a narrow win over Changchun YaTai 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 69% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 31%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.78 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.33 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Changchun YaTai?

Beijing Guoan 2-1 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 67%, draw 18%, Changchun YaTai 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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