Henan Jianye 3-2 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.51
1/2
8%
23.75
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
10%
6.78
X/2
14%
5.3
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.07
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.11/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.46
-48% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
23.3 Crosses 20.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
238 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
10.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-2 HT 3-2 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
11.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
05.12.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
25.09.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
3-2
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
2.72 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
269 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye edged past Chengdu Qianbao 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 51% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 49%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.72 to 1.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Henan Jianye's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.33 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Henan Jianye 3-2 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 31%, draw 26%, Chengdu Qianbao 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ BTTS Yes
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