Alfreton Town 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.33
6+ Goals
13%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.48/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.02
-58% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
21.09.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
02.05.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
25.03.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
02.12.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
05.04.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town and Kidderminster Harriers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 48% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 52%, shots finished 7-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.67 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Alfreton Town 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 24%, draw 27%, Kidderminster Harriers 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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