Peterborough Sports 2-1 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -43%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.38
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Chorley
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Chorley Chorley 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
10.08.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
11.11.2023 Chorley Chorley 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
22.04.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
22.10.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports nicked a narrow win over Chorley 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Peterborough Sports and 0.80 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Chorley?

Peterborough Sports 2-1 Chorley in the England - Conference on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 30%, draw 26%, Chorley 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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