Hereford FC 3-3 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.14
-6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
19.10.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
02.03.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
21.10.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.10.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
3-3
AWAY Curzon Ashton
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Curzon Ashton couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 56% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 44%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hereford FC and 1.17 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Curzon Ashton?

Hereford FC 3-3 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 42%, draw 22%, Curzon Ashton 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hereford FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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