Hereford FC 3-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +32%
1.63/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.78
+17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
02.03.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
21.10.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.10.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
22.02.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC got the better of Curzon Ashton 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Hereford FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hereford FC and 1.50 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Curzon Ashton?

Hereford FC 3-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 31%, draw 31%, Curzon Ashton 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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