Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.65
X/2
13%
5.61
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.84
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.39/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
+10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.4 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 Passes 432
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-1 Watford Watford İNCL
05.10.2024 Watford Watford 2-1 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
04.05.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
30.09.2023 Watford Watford 2-3 HT 1-2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
28.01.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 2-0 Watford Watford İNCL
30.08.2022 Watford Watford 2-1 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
3-0
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.76 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
339 Passes 427
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Watford vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford ran out comfortable winners over Middlesbrough 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Watford made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Watford had 45% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 55%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.76 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Watford and 1.67 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Watford 39%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Watford), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Watford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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