Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Watford — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Watford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-0
HT 2-0
Watford
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Watford
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNP
Middlesbrough 3-1 Watford — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough saw off Watford 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 55% of the ball to Watford's 45%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.20 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.00 for Watford.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Watford?
Middlesbrough 3-1 Watford in the England - Championship on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Watford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 44%, draw 24%, Watford 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.