Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.64
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.67
1/2
7%
20.15
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
8.92
X/2
16%
4.59
X/X
7%
6.12
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.26
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.4pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.71/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.65
+63% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
16.1 Crosses 30.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hull City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
289 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.04.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-3 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İN1
03.10.2020 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
02.02.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
05.01.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City FAK
11.08.2007 Hull City Hull City 2-3 HT 1-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1-0
AWAY Hull City
0.87 xG 0.47
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
229 Passes 549
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle nicked a narrow win over Hull City 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 34% of the ball to Hull City's 66%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.87 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.67 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City?

Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Hull City in the England - Championship on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 27%, draw 23%, Hull City 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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