West Bromwich 3-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.88
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
18%
3.52
X/2
6%
12.5
X/X
17%
5.35
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
9%
10.6
2/X
5%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.64/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.37
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.0 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Preston North End
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
302 Passes 244
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-4 HT 0-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
29.12.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
05.10.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-0 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
26.01.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-2 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
18.09.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
25.02.2020 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 2-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
3-0
AWAY Preston North End
2.95 xG 0.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
301 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich ran out comfortable winners over Preston North End 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, West Bromwich had 53% of the ball to Preston North End's 47%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.95 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for West Bromwich and 0.67 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Preston North End?

West Bromwich 3-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 51%, draw 28%, Preston North End 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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