Birmingham 1-0 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 May 2024

Birmingham
1-0 HT 0-0
Norwich City
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Birmingham vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.37
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.43
X/2
9%
5.81
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.71
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.37
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.9 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Birmingham vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Norwich City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.82 xG 1.47
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 Passes 492
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
21.02.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
30.08.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
09.08.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 2-2 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNLK
23.02.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 1-3 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
20.10.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL

Birmingham 1-0 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1-0
AWAY Norwich City
1.24 xG 0.11
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
194 Passes 433
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham edged past Norwich City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Birmingham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Birmingham had 36% of the ball to Norwich City's 64%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.24 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birmingham and 2.17 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Norwich City?

Birmingham 1-0 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 39%, draw 26%, Norwich City 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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