Coventry 1-2 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 May 2024

Coventry
1-2 HT 0-2
Queens Park Rangers
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.13 — our 27% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.08
X/2
13%
6.67
X/X
10%
4.83
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
4.46
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.45/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.29
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.4 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-3 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.04.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
12.11.2022 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
22.01.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
28.08.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
02.04.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Coventry 1-2 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-2
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.85 xG 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
464 Passes 365
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
37 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers edged past Coventry 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Coventry had 55% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 45%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.50 — on chances, Coventry could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coventry and 1.33 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers?

Coventry 1-2 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coventry 42%, draw 27%, Queens Park Rangers 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5
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