Varbergs 1-2 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.93
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
17%
5.38
X/2
6%
7.08
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.25
2/2
14%
4.49
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.67/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.65
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Brage
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.04.2025 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-1 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
22.09.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
01.04.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage nicked a narrow win over Varbergs 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Varbergs and 1.00 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs IK Brage?

Varbergs 1-2 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 49%, draw 25%, IK Brage 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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