Norrköping 1-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.51
Over Pick
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.49
2-3
38%
2.05
4-5
27%
2.71
6+
11%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.84
1/2
6%
21.8
1/X
4%
12.95
X/1
17%
6.47
X/2
8%
5.65
X/X
12%
6.12
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
24%
3.12
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · X/1 at 6.47 — our 17% vs market 11.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.11
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
22.0 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
1W-2D-3L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 1.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 433
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.10.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
01.06.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 5-1 HT 3-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.03.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
12.11.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.04.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-2
AWAY IK Sirius
0.51 xG 1.72
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
235 Passes 545
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius nicked a narrow win over Norrköping 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day IK Sirius made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Norrköping had 33% of the ball to IK Sirius's 67%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 0.51 to 1.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold IK Sirius's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Norrköping and 2.17 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs IK Sirius?

Norrköping 1-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 41%, draw 21%, IK Sirius 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrköping) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
1 Nov 2025
17:00 Hacken vs Malmö FF Analysis →