First Vienna 2-3 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
16%
5.65
X/2
12%
5.65
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.76
2/X
4%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.44/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.48
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Amstetten
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2025 Amstetten Amstetten 2-1 HT 1-0 First Vienna First Vienna AVK
16.05.2025 First Vienna First Vienna 1-3 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.11.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 1-3 HT 1-3 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
26.11.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-3 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.05.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 0-4 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
11.09.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 2-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten edged past First Vienna 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Amstetten found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for First Vienna and 1.17 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Amstetten?

First Vienna 2-3 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 39%, draw 23%, Amstetten 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (First Vienna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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