Sturm Graz II 1-1 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
32%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
3.01
6+ Goals
15%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.77
1/2
8%
21.6
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
18.35
X/1
5%
12.0
X/2
21%
3.99
X/X
11%
6.1
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.86
2/X
7%
16.25
Value flag · 1/X at 18.35 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
17%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
59%
Away Win
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.75/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.93
+55% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Admira Wacker
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-3 HT 1-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
26.10.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-1 HT 2-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
31.03.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-3 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
01.09.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-5 HT 2-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
09.09.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II and Admira Wacker shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Admira Wacker at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturm Graz II and 2.17 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker?

Sturm Graz II 1-1 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 16%, draw 26%, Admira Wacker 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Admira Wacker), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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