Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-4 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.06/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.22
-13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
28.07.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
03.11.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
16.07.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
19.03.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-4
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv swept aside Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 54% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 3-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-4 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41%, draw 28%, Botev Plovdiv 31%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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