Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.25/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.55
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 3-1 HT 2-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
01.04.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-3 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
14.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 3-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
28.04.2023 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
21.06.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 54% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 46%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Septemvri Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.60 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 30%, draw 27%, Slavia Sofia 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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