Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saint-Étienne (K) v Montpellier (K) — Team-Based Signals
Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Montpellier (K)
FRK1
Saint-Étienne (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Saint-Étienne (K) saw off Montpellier (K) 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 47% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 53%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 4.12 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 2.00 for Montpellier (K).
What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)?
Saint-Étienne (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 31%, draw 25%, Montpellier (K) 44%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montpellier (K)) went the other way.